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jeffw@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 8 months ago

Can we trust the polls this year?

www.vox.com

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Can we trust the polls this year?

www.vox.com

jeffw@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 8 months ago
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After polling misses in 2016 and 2020, how should we feel about 2024? The case for and against this year’s polls.
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  • just_another_person@lemmy.world
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    8 months ago

    Nope. They haven’t been useful since 2012, and every political analyst says so.

    What IS reliable is the returns on ballots of inclusion for abortion care in every state that has had it so far. It’s very clear that the turnout for pro-choice is magnitudes higher than polls, and we can expect the same for November.

    But still, GO VOTE.

    • DragonTypeWyvern@midwest.social
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      8 months ago

      Republican women are dumb as shit, that’s not enough. That dropped literally right before midterms and they still got Congress seats.

      • just_another_person@lemmy.world
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        8 months ago

        Whoa. No. Not even the case.

        Look at every red state that has had a ballot on this issue. You’re fucking dumb.

        • DragonTypeWyvern@midwest.social
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          8 months ago

          Okay buddy liberal, go pass some legislation then👍

          • just_another_person@lemmy.world
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            8 months ago

            Just living in the now. You should figure out how to get here.

            • DragonTypeWyvern@midwest.social
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              8 months ago

              😂

              • just_another_person@lemmy.world
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                8 months ago

                It seems your understanding on how laws are passed is tenuous at best.

                You do understand that Trump can’t do all the things he says, right?

                • DragonTypeWyvern@midwest.social
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                  8 months ago

                  Lol, this dudebro thinks people that criticize liberalism on Lemmy must be conservatives. Explains why he was too lazy to downvote my comment history more than ten comments deep.

      • vzq@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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        8 months ago

        Generally speaking, I would not look to republicans for help in winning this election. The question is whether you can find a way to increase turn out.

        The democrats have been very bad at explaining why people should turn up to vote in the mid terms if they want to keep abortion legal. In a presidential year, and when there’s an abortion access measure on the ballot, the argument it’s easier to make.

        TLDR: GOTV for mid terms sucks eggs.

  • Zier@fedia.io
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    8 months ago

    Polls mean nothing. Voting means everything.

  • gatorgato@lemmy.world
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    8 months ago

    No. Vote.

  • Madison420@lemmy.world
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    8 months ago

    Can the silent majority ever shut the fuck up?

  • Big_Boss_77@lemmynsfw.com
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    8 months ago

    deleted by creator

  • vzq@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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    8 months ago

    Since the race is pretty much a complete tossup according to the polls, there isn’t much to trust.

    The polls are shrugging and going “I don’t know man, you tell me”.

  • some_guy@lemmy.sdf.org
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    8 months ago

    “People can come up with statistics to prove anything, Kent. 14 percent of all people know that.”

  • Media Bias Fact Checker@lemmy.worldB
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    8 months ago
    Vox - News Source Context (Click to view Full Report)

    Information for Vox:

    MBFC: Left - Credibility: High - Factual Reporting: High - United States of America
    Wikipedia about this source

    Search topics on Ground.News

    https://www.vox.com/2024-elections/370649/trust-polls-2016-2020-election-2024-pollster-polling-miss

    Media Bias Fact Check | bot support

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