He says if Trump continues deporting immigrants at the current rate, inflation will go from 2.5% to somewhere close to 4% “by the time it hits its peak early next year.”

Zandi says his stark prediction is based on recent inflation data. “Foreign-born labor force is declining, and the overall labor force has gone flat since the beginning of the year,” he added. “That’s causing tightening in a lot of markets, adding to costs and inflation.”

  • Kazumara@discuss.tchncs.de
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    4 days ago

    It’s going to be difficult to decide how much inflation comes from which bad policy, because there are multiple.

    • Deportations (less production due to workforce reduction)
    • Import taxes on finished goods (less market supply locally)
    • Import taxes on industry inputs (less production locally)
    • Forcing inefficient foreign investment (monetary oversupply for impacted sectors)