‘History repeats itself’ wasn’t supposed to be advice; plus there’s supposed to be more than just 20 years in-between.
I thought libs were making the claim that we all learned from the Iraq war? Heck, Iraq and Iran are nearly the same word but with one letter difference!
This won’t be Iraq.
During the build up to the Iraq War, we saw large scale logistical preparations that went on for months and months as military transports and personnel were being deployed in the region (e.g. through Morocco).
There are some planes being flown over to the Middle East and some fleet being deployed right now, but most likely just for launching air strikes. No signs of ground invasion.
The difference is, Trump doesn’t want an invasion, he just doesn’t want to look “weak”. The war in Iran is more likely to unfold like the Vietnam war- a colonial power bites off more than it can chew so the US steps in to help them, slowly at first, and then after a few years it and a gulf of tonkin later the US is fully committed and kids are out on the street burning their draft cards.
The good news is, it means that there will be a lag between the time the war kicks of and the time America is prepared to fight it effectively. A lot can happen in that time, and the public support for invading Iran is already WAY smaller than the support for invading Iraq, and Americans haven’t even started dying yet. This feels like the tsar picking a fight with Japan. It will radicalize a lot of people