While markets wait for trade negotiations with 90 countries at the same time, global trade is grinding to a standstill with problems similar to what we saw during Covid: growing supply chain challenges with potential shortages in US stores within a few weeks, higher US inflation, and lower tourism to the US. We reiterate our view that if current policies do not change, then the probability of a US recession in 2025 is 90%,
I don’t think there’s like anything short of a coup in the US that would fix this issue. Even if the motha fucka reversed policies or does another pause, there’s an amount of trust that is no longer there lol
Dang I guess we gotta do a communist revolution in the imperial core, dangit