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Cake day: June 6th, 2023

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  • Danielle Smith is going to find out very quickly that she and Alberta need the rest of Canada a lot more than Canada needs Alberta. Also, say goodbye to your CPP, OAS, and EI contributions. The impact on schools, water treatment, pharmaceuticals, food safety, and road regulations alone are significant cause for concern.

    Not to mention all oil leaving Alberta would still have to travel through Canada to get to an ocean port. They would have to negotiate with a “foreign country” for that …







  • I think an election sooner is likely.

    I don’t see the government falling in less than a year. Maybe after 2, but probably longer unless something dramatic happens.

    • The NDP can’t afford to fight an election any time soon, they need a new leader and they need to re-energize their supporters.

    • The Bloc has a common cause with the federal government until the Trump threat is neutralized (and they’re even more angry about their sovereignty being actively threatened than most Canadians). And the housing program that Carney speaks about would benefit all provinces, including Quebec.

    • The Conservatives need to turf PP and replace him, which he will fight against. That’s going to take some time, and if Carney is doing a good job while they’re busy with that, it’ll be even harder for their new leader to credibly justify bringing down the government…

    • And finally, the public has no appetite for going back into an election unless Carney screws up badly. And any competent political strategist from any party should be able to recognize that.