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Cake day: July 26th, 2023

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  • As I said in the other place this article was posted: the source seems to be an online reader survey from t-online.be. That means the scientific value of this is pretty low. For decent surveys, you need a random sample. In this case, you need to be a visitor of t-online, and you decide for yourself that you want to participate. That’s already enough to skew results. Add to that that there’s a lot of online activism against Tesla (for obvious reasons), so the poll could have been partly hijacked. Such a low number of people who don’t care or haven’t heard about Tesla going rogue is not realistic anyway. There’s a lot of people who are weird, contrarian or simply avoid all news.








  • One of the things I read about that, is that people tend to take an “average position” between all the opinions they hear. It used to be that the opinions you’d hear would be based on serious media, and your close circles. But much of the media has gone to shit, and social media amplify crazy people because it’s good for engagement. So you end up hearing about the crazy position of lore as much as about the rational one. And that does influence a lot of people.


  • You know when we first started seeing growing populations and development of agriculture? When the climate started an exceptionally long stable period. Guess what’s going put of the window now? Planting for draught because that’s the “new normal” won’t get you far if the next year happens to be the wettest on record. Let alone that stronger storms than ever seen before aren’t exactly great for harvests either. And that’s just agriculture. Climate related disasters can wipe out key infrastructure, with unexpected consequences down the line (e.g. no car production because of a certain specific part of almost all cars comes from that one specific place). And then there’s the refugee problem on top of all that.