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16 hours agoYou get a tactical nuke if you get a killstreak of 25
companero [he/him]
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Joined 5 years ago
Cake day: July 26th, 2020
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The only stockpiles we know about are the open-air ones. Tanks being moved out of those stockpiles doesn’t necessarily mean they have been destroyed.
And, per the article, the attrition rate of T-90’s is basically zero right now, since they aren’t being sent to the frontline.
WSJ: The Russian Military Moves That Have Europe on Edge
In 2021, before the invasion, Russia made about 40 of its main battle tanks, the T-90M, according to Western intelligence estimates. Now it is producing nearly 300 a year. A senior Finnish military official said almost none are being sent to the front line in Ukraine, but are staying on Russian soil for later use.
Russia is tailoring its rearmament plans to meet the needs of the new troops to be stationed along its NATO border. Those units will get much of the new equipment. Most of what is being sent to the front line in Ukraine is old and refurbished Soviet-era arms.
The U.S. estimates that around 30,000 Russians are signing up each month, up from about 25,000 last summer. Some Eastern European intelligence officials say the ranks are now swelling by some 40,000 soldiers a month.
The article is written to push the narrative that Russia is inexplicably preparing to invade NATO, just because they can. Of course, Russia does need to remain prepared for war with NATO in the event of some serious provocation (say, something involving Kaliningrad).
That said, I think this information also fits my theory that Russia is basically preparing an entire separate, fresh, and modernized army to swiftly end the war in Ukraine, once the age of attrition is over.
I do wonder if we’ll see many more vehicles at the Victory Day parade this year.
A U.S. official told Task & Purpose that initial reports indicate the mishap occurred as the Truman was making a hard turn amid a Houthi attack. No information about the nature of the threat was immediately available.
https://taskandpurpose.com/news/navy-super-hornet-truman/
So it’s kinda both a mistake and a successful attack.
Pakistan is still China’s ally despite the compradors, as far as I know. They have pretty deep military ties, and a shared enemy (India), which make it difficult to totally change course.
Is it too conspiracy brained to think that this India/Pakistan shit is another US-orchestrated ploy to take away another ally from their enemies? Like Libya/Syria/Armenia(maybe?)/etc.
It would be their piece de resistance if they are able to do it to a country with nukes.
It seems like with the official announcement, the de facto “press embargo” has ended.
Here’s some more:
The whole situation still seems a bit weird to me, though. Based on what we know, they were only really involved in the capture of Plekhovo, which wasn’t really that important AFAIK.
Maybe they did underperform? That would be a bit worrying, since they were supposed to be the DPRK’s top special forces.
My long-held take was that they were stationed near the border after the Kursk invasion to defend against further attacks. I didn’t think they would be actively participating in counteroffensives.
The big cheese himself, General Gerasimov, has confirmed the participation of DPRK troops in the recapture of Kursk.
That they want Russia to withdraw from the ZNPP and the Kinburn Spit (two tough strategic nuts to crack) kind of hints that they do indeed want to launch another offensive ultimately aimed at retaking Crimea.
Ukrainian and European peace deal counterproposals to US at talks in London
Ukraine and Europe continue to huff their own farts. A peace deal is not looking very likely if this is their starting point.
spoiler
Ceasefire:
- Commit to a full and unconditional ceasefire in the sky, on land and at sea.
- Both sides immediately enter into negotiations on technical implementation with the participation of the US and European countries. This is in parallel to preparation of the agenda and modalities for a full peace deal.
- Ceasefire monitoring, led by the US and supported by third countries.
- Russia must unconditionally return all deported and illegally displaced Ukrainian children. Exchange of all prisoners of war (the principle of “all for all”). Russia must release all civilian prisoners.
Security guarantees for Ukraine:
- Ukraine receives robust security guarantees including from the US (Article 5-like agreement), while there is no consensus among Allies on NATO membership.
- No restrictions on the Ukrainian Defense Forces.
- The guarantor states will be an ad hoc group of European countries and willing non-European countries. No restrictions on the presence, weapons and operations of friendly foreign forces on the territory of Ukraine.
- Ukraine pursues accession to the EU.
Territory:
- Territorial issues will be discussed and resolved after a full and unconditional ceasefire.
- Territorial negotiations start from the basis of the line of control.
- Ukraine regains control of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant with US involvement, and also the Kakhovka Dam
- Ukraine enjoys unhindered passages on the Dnieper River and control of the KinburnSpit.
Economics:
- US and Ukraine implement economic cooperation/minerals agreement.
- Ukraine will be fully reconstructed and compensated financially, including through Russian sovereign assets that will remain frozen until Russia compensates damage to Ukraine.
- US sanctions imposed on Russia since 2014 may be subject to gradual easing after a sustainable peace is achieved and subject to resumption in the event of a breach of the peace agreement (snapback).
Russia will demand at least partial demilitarization of Ukraine and/or withdrawal of their military from the land east of the Dnieper river. It would be a tough pill for Ukraine to swallow, but it’s not impossible that they accept.
I think the leaked US plan is real, and Russia is playing along for now.
In my opinion, they are giving Ukraine (and Europe) a final chance for a reasonable deal. If they reject, Russia will lock in and fight for total victory, and the US may stop sending weapons.
Eh, it has just expired anyway, but I think it was a reasonable success. Efforts were clearly made to reduce the fighting, but it’s not surprising that there were some violations.
Both sides now want to paint the other as having seriously violated the truce to win favor with the Trump regime.
I wonder if this ceasefire was indeed coordinated between Russia and the US (per the leaked peace plan) to determine if the ultra-nationalist elements in Ukraine are even capable of being restrained.
Little Marco was talking about potentially “moving on” from the Ukraine peace process “within days” just yesterday.
Yeah, I’m a little worried libs will use this as an off-ramp to stop caring about him.
"I came to El Salvador to see him, and I saw him, so
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What do we think Russia’s response will be when Germany gives Taurus missiles to Ukraine?
Another Oreshnik strike? Perhaps on the Rheinmetall plants in Ukraine?
5-6 km Russian breakthrough southwest of Kostiantynivka, per https://t.me/s/kalibrated
Some initial reports that Russia may have also begun assault operations on Pokrovsk. A few soldiers were apparently geolocated within the city.