catonkatonk [none/use name]

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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: December 25th, 2023

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  • It’s a good point, but I think we have to be open to the idea that the people running the show are not rational, not intelligent, and perhaps even in the throes of hubris. Perhaps they have an exaggerated sense of their own capability and a mistaken belief in the power of their bombs and drones. Maybe they think they can defeat Iran easily, even if their generals tell them otherwise. And they believe that they need to clear the board before engaging with China, to pick off China’s potential allies ahead of time.

    The only evidence I can give for this hypothesis is that they do seem to believe that by giving Ukraine an unlimited number of missiles, that Ukraine can expel Russia from its borders. That is without going into the absurd predictions being made at the onset of the war about Russia’s imminent total economic and industrial collapse. They have not (recently) proven themselves as being able to, uh, calculate.