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6 days agoDaily reminder this is the party that praised Harry Kissinger on his death.
lol lmao even fucking Jackson Hinkle may as well be a literal baby eating a lolipop in comparison.
BynarsAreOk [none/use name]
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Cake day: March 16th, 2021
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Rather than repeating what I said in the past, I was able to find this, someone did an entire research paper on Chinese mining industry with some decent data on illegal mining activities, here China’s public policies toward rare earths, 1975–2018
Please read the section starting and continue from “2010–2015: further and broader restrictions and the World Trade Organization dispute” through the end. I can’t quote everything, its very detailed and its a good read so I’ll just quote the absolute minimum.
The efficiency of export quotas and smuggling
Illegal RE products also escaped through the border of China and undermined the effectiveness of export quotas. China’s illegal RE exports were significant. For example, the export quota in 2008 was 57,000 t of RE gross products. However, Europe, USA, and Japan imported about 71,000 t of RE products (metals, compounds, oxides, and so on) from China, which is 14,000 t higher than the maximum legal export (Schüler 2011). Table 2 shows, except for 2009, the reported import of RE products from China was greater than the reported Chinese export for the same basket of products for the period 2009-2013.
Yes that was a long time ago, however it was relevant given China had done exactly this same export ban against Japan in 2010. Of course in the years after China became more aggressive in combating it but it is not so simple, the paper talks about all of this.
Environmental damages are highly related to illegal mining. Simultaneously, the government used environmental requirements to restrict illegal RE production. The crackdown on the illegal and black market activities mainly led by MLR and MIIT started in 2010 and was aimed at investigating and punishing illegal mining, processing, and trading. A crackdown campaign ending in April 2017, led by the RE office and with the participation of other related ministries, included investigations in 23 provinces and inspections of 415 firms in the RE supply chain. Figure 14 shows that there were such administrative activities in almost every year, which implies that the problems of illegal production are complicated to deal with for the central government (MLR 2010b; MIIT et al. 2011a, b; MIIT 2012c; MIIT et al. 2013a; MIIT et al. 2014, MIIT et al. 2016, MIIT 2017c).
If you can find other and better data that says otherwise be free to post it, as such this is not easily available in English to begin with maybe CN sources are more definitive. I hope this makes the point its not like it didn’t ever happen or is impossible.
My assumption was always illegal mining can and does leak into the black market and likewise because illegal miners do not need licenses these quotas do not work and these minerals can then flow elsewhere through middleman just like Russian oil from India.
No my assumption is not that the US will keep going business as usual through smuggled Chinese minerals even if that was possible in enough quantities, no even in the best case its a small portion that can be used for the absolute top priority uses by the Pentagon and such.
However with people acting as if this is a grandslam/checkmate move it is just naive given the previous history here. This was the same as that China issuing bonds in Saudi Arabia narrative.
China already tried quotas and export controls. The Japan dispute and the WTO dispute. Could you tell that after banning those exports in 2010, China would be smiling and shaking hands with the US President despite the escalations over the next almost 15 years?
Regardless of any black market issues, what China is doing is more about escalating IMO, the US will need to find long term solutions, but likewise China is not looking to actualy start this trade war by themselves. This is a “I’ll take you down with me” move even if temporarily.
The difference is some people thinking this mineral issue will prevent future escalations from the US, it probably will not.
Taiwan imports more than 95% of its energy. And every time these naval drills happen, Taiwan has to dig into its oil reserves since containers are obviously not going to sail through a live military exercise. I suspect this is what a blockade will look like. The drills will just happen more and more until it’s a de facto blockade since ships will no longer want to sail for Taiwan. Once their reserves run out, they will capitulate, most likely by the ROC military orchestrating a coup and (re)establishing KMT one-party rule with Taiwanese separatism being outlawed (again).
Keep in mind that all this rethoric about Taiwan dependency on China is true, it also may not matter if you compare to Ukraine.
Russia occupied ZNPP almost from day one and that supplied a significant part of Ukrainian energy. Then they took the eastern regions that had most of the heavy industry and finaly they knocked out most energy grid repeatedly over the years.
For what effect? So that soon 4 years later it is still the US calling the shots, so that there is a nazi government still openly oppressing any political alternatives, so that even the liberal “democracy” fetishism doesn’t hold up anymore because it doesn’t matter how you justify it Zelensky still must remain etc.
The situation could and maybe is most likely to be the same in Taiwan too. Chinese blockade? Who gives a fuck, unless China does an actual amphibian invasion and a knockout the government by literally killing them all the war could take months.
China should absolutely learn by the Russian mistakes in Ukraine like Russia should have militarized straight during that Surovikin shit and gone for a full out war not this grinding out Ukrainian army nonsense. Mistakes were made and China should be learning from them, but what you write here is basically begging to repeat them. Putting your bets on a local citizen coup to win a war? Realy?
This entire block of comment you write is basicaly what the Russian mil bloggers were all saying about Ukraine in 2022. “Zelensky is finished” is almost a Russian mirror image of the Trump meme.
Unity in being a western vassal is what he actually means lol.
There is zero hope of this unless the US moves seriously towards Taiwan, otherwise I’d be very surprised, the ideological rot goes all the way to the top.
Nobody is forcing Xi to make speeches even 10 years ago about how much he loves “globalization” and how there is realy no alternative and we should not seek to blame the current system or replace it.
There are further left tendencies within the CPC but they do not hold power. Xi was wishing Trump good wishes on his admin on day 1 even though the armchair bullshitters in here(including myself) could tell from a mile away, years ago that this is going to happen, Trump was after all the one who started the first “trade war” too.
Ask yourself if they learned anything from the Trump trade war in 2018 and I’ll show you a picture of Xi smiling holding Biden’s hand in 2024.
Besides, as I said, there is no ideological stance that the CPC can push since all they repeat constantly is globalization is good and it is not to blame for the suffering, exploitation and wars. Its merely a bad side, not an inherent flaw or something that must be fought against and replaced.
Us vs them mentality needs to be more than complaining asking to see the manager(UN/WTO) and complain about how the US is realy bad but again after almost a decade repeating these views it will take something far more drastic to force them to change.
So with there being a 4 year timer most companies and capitalists will see the writing on the wall if Trump continues. What I think is that a lot of capitalists are currently deep in denial but that torpor will only stick around for so long, and as much as it pains capital to leave the current hegemon it’s not like capital always was centered around the USA at one point it was centered in London, capital will move and make it’s new nest somewhere else.
I agree with your overall narrative, this is a good comment but I would disagree with this particular point, it is just not compelling at all.
The US got into this position exactly because the EU as a whole was already on borrowed time, German capital was never able to compete with the UK given their limited imperialist capabilities. I’m sure you know the context for WW1 and WW2 as well but if we think about “alternatives” it realy is TINA. The EU is not better today then it was even 150 years ago, the Eurozone project is already a second attempt at keeping it afloat 25 years ago and now German capital dominates the EU with France playing second fiddle and minor yet also incompetent imperialist ambitions. Nowadays given the US complete dominance over German neoliberalism this is a dead argument. Germany would need to reignite its own imperialist ambitions, align itself with Russia and China to even begin to mount a challenge to the US, it wont happen, necessary steps like e.g re-starting their nuclear project would take years if not decades.
The UK itself lacks the tools to take over the hegemonic status again, they’re not the same naval superpower as they were and UK capitalism is in decline, London is already a deeply rotten financial capital based on rentier capital specialy given the UK’s relationship with EU industry and labor movement(see Brexit context).
If we look outside the west then there should be no argument in favor of e.g Singapore or Japan. These countries are not capable of meaningful necessary reforms to oppose the US.
Other BRICS countries are decades if not a century away from such ambitions and in any case India and Brazil will get fucked by climate change, along with the rest of the world in less than 20 years.
By process of elimination we arrive at China and China taking a position at the center of capitalism is not exactly the rhetoric we should be aiming for either.
IDK I think you kind of picked a bad example here is a better one
Overall I think its a possible mistake to think China is unique to this criticism. Yes certainly Japan gets to benefit from delusional weebs biased expectations but what I’ve noticed is even after the “permanent tourist” boom led by some like AbroadinJapan and others, they’ve been quite open in talking about the issues and downsides, despite remaining overall positive, I mean why wouldn’t they? I agree Japan is not a bad place for a foreigner specially compared to post 2020 US/EU.
If you’re really familiar you’ll know this has always been controversial, there was this one guy in the early internet Arudou Debito yeah? He was infamous even 15 years ago and people could not accept his criticism. To be fair he is exactly the type of westerner loser that goes to Japan, gets shocked and then turns Japan hate into a career.
I think overall Americans and western are more racist and biased against Asians than not, the image of cool Japan from the 1990s is far gone and it is not hard to find open and often racist based criticism.
Quite simply genz and later are not growing up with the same Japanese cultural boom as millennials in the early 2000s and it shows. Japan is still popular but you can find pro-Chinese channels with just as many views and overall Asian racism is stronger now than ever.
Maybe they should invite Israel to join Belt and Road as well.
A trip though the good old times of… 2018. Contradictory and sometimes problematic an outlet as they can be, it summarizes a lot of what is discussed these days.
None of this is new and most observers knew where it was going years ago.
This is not even half of what MMT says but sure. Its like saying Musks discovers Marx was right because he actualy needs to hire workers in order for Tesla/SpaceX to actualy make anything.
Wolff spent the entire last decade/2010’s going around in circles over his worker co-op shit and now he is role playing as a geopolitics expert?
both sides seem to have roughly similar casualty rates
This has never been true in this war I don’t know where you got that from. The best that can be argued for is some Russian manouvers and offensives specialy in urban warfare have been less than stellar and Ukrainian drones are far more successful than Russian circles would admit. But urban warfare is not the majority and at some stages if you even go back look at reports from Ukrainians themselves, the artillery discrepancy alone made the war completely lopsided, Ukrainian positions getting hammered by artillery while the best they can do is send a drone or two that maybe successfuly drops a single grande/small bomb once in a while.
That was before 2023 when Russia introduced their own new gliding bombs, if it was over before then its just unfair from that point onwards. Just not proportional in any sense.
The NDRC said the 3.4% reduction in the amount of carbon emissions per unit of economic growth last year “fell short of expectations”, blaming rapid growth in energy consumption as well as extreme weather.
China is not expected to meet its five-year goal to bring carbon intensity down by 18% by the end of this year, and it has not yet announced an annual target for 2025.
Are people upvoting this based on the headline and not reading the actual article again lol. They’re not meeting their targets, but its ok we can make new ones! Good on them for at least caring about it even if not clearly enough.
Its not the targets or whether they meet them or not, but the neoliberal policies that have creeped up in 2022/2023 and 2024 that should have you worried. China will meet its “target” at the same time liberalization and straight up anti-worker legislation(the retirement age increase defended with the same rhetoric as western neoliberal ghouls do everywhere else) happens, while the housing bubble happened etc.
If the US realy does go into a very quick recession over these tariffs then its even more certain bad times are coming for the global economy. Nothing to be “chad” about it.
I absolutely hate to make a point for him but I think in this context(yes his grammar is wrong I guess) he means cut off your export deals, don’t renew or count on your export revenue for your long term investment plans and/or start seeking new domestic customers, renegotiate in advance if you can, something something large scale deals will be made on a first come first serve basis I guess.
Absolutely meaningless “criticism” from a clown. Right now in he is in the middle of another controversy and the entire socialist left is malding. This is the type of absolute immoral hipocrisy and betrayal of the working class the liberal left does and says.
Ok so he says this while at the same time literaly posing with a blue MAGA cap just to mimic the dipshit genocidal US democratic party.
Yes, the same color cap of the same political party that started this genocide. His own worker’s party color has always been red, for very obvious historical reasons of the global socialist and worker movement. There hasn’t been a single moment in recent history where the left hasn’t been represented by the red color.
Yes its absolutely pitiful and the entire Brazilian socialist left is just laughing histericaly(actualy I joke, we all already wish him dead or worse).
This dipshit is trying to import anti-Trump rhetoric straight from the US and then he turns around and then toys around with Palestinian solidarity saying meaningless shit like this.
Or two months ago when, well you know
Palestinian solidarity begins like this lol.
Please Ignore this idiot, he is far busier implementing some of the worst neoliberal policies in this country(including Bolsonaro and Temer’s previous terms) while saying the usual US bad like always.
Brazil is collapsing to US influence so fast now Lula is adopting Blue MAGA lol lmao even I can’t. Lula is our enemy now(
), please let go of 2016 and 2020 memes.Sigh I just wish these demons would stop using Palestine as their grand stage for political theater, Palestinians don’t deserve this.
I think it only further isolates Israel and makes them even more of a pariah
Why do you think that matters when even China has maintained relations and their business deals throughout the genocide?
Israel is a pariah, so what? I understand it, heck I think I even may have believed this in the past, but the moment of Israel’s global reckoning already came and went with the ICJ and ICC stuff and the result is obvious now for anyone to see.
There is no global resistance, specialy as those who most loudly claim to be such are nothing but hypocritical bastards at best.
You can believe this if you want but I think this rhetoric is pretty much almost like a meme honestly, its almost a new sort of Palestine horseshoe theory, the worst the situation becomes it wraps around into being good actualy. I don’t intend to make fun, but I also don’t think this is particularly insightful and I’d honestly advise against believing this.
Saudi Arabia maintains relations with the ultimate overlord US and in the recent years also China as they try to influence them with military deals and BRI investments. It is in their interest to at least pretend to play both sides on the international stage at random opportune, imo it is foolish to pretend this is anything more than that.
Look at history and what they’ve actualy done so far. They’ve already picked a side.
I recommend you look at what Norman Finkelstein has been saying and sadly he has been consistently correct about the developments so far. Yes you should be worried.
IMO as he says Gaza was already going to face a huge challenge rebuilding and with US troops being directly involved it means even more restrictions on aid, I fear even more they’ll push a narrative of aiding Hamas and “harming our troops” when anyone tries to provide aid.
As it stands right now Gaza is unlivable or barely livable, US troops on the ground likely only makes this even more certain, yes you should be worried. What matters in Gaza is the destruction of basic infrastructure, the lack of food and medicine etc. If the US troops allow this situation to get worse the population will have to flee, its sad but you should be worried this is a possible scenario.
Must be noted China only imports 1.7%($6 bln) crude oil and 5%($2.6 bln) LNG from the US respectively. This is absolutely nothing.
If you remember the absolutely grandiose bullshit narrative about the Chinese bonds in USD sale months ago that was $40 billion dollars. That little clown circus was ended up being worth almost 5x more than all these exports combined.
We’re very very far away from Chinese getting serious about anything.
The Botsman video here on telegram.
https://t.me/rwapodcast/69
random YT link
https://youtu.be/24m1U8sbKA4
They approached Bucha, the same major street with the wrecks etc and clearly say
“There are guys without blue armbands, can I shoot them?”
“Fuck yeah”