Image is of destruction and damage inside Israel, sourced from this article.


Iran and Israel have struck each other many times over the last few days. There has been a general focus on military facilities and headquarters by both sides, though Israel has also struck oil facilities, civilian structures and hospitals, and in return for this, Iran has struck major scientific centers and the Haifa oil facilities.

Israel appears to have three main aims. First, to collapse the Iranian state, either through shock and breakdown by killing enough senior officials, or via some sort of internal military coup. Second, to try and destroy Iranian nuclear sites and underground missile cities, or at least to paralyze them long enough to achieve the first and third goals. And third, to bring the US into a direct conflict with Iran. This is because the US better equipped to fight them than Israel is (though victory would still not be guaranteed depending on what Iran chooses to do).

Iranian nuclear facilities are hidden deep underground (800 meters), far beyond the depth range of even the most powerful bunker busters (~70 meters or so), and built such that the visible ground entrances are horizontally far away in an unknown direction from the actual underground chambers. Only an extremely competent full-scale American bombing force all simultaneously using multiple of the most powerful conventional (perhaps even nuclear) bunker busters could even hypothetically hope to breach them (and we have seen how, in practice, American bunker busters have largely failed to impair or deter Ansarallah). There are several analysts on both sides who have concluded that it is entirely impossible to physically prevent Iran from building nukes.

I fully expect the US to join the war. I believe the current ambiguity is a deliberate invention of the US while they work to move their military assets into position, and as soon as they are ready, the US will start bombing Iran. After that, Iran’s leadership must - if they haven’t already - harden their hearts, and strike back with no fear, or risk following the path of Libya, Syria, and Iraq, either into either surrender, occupation, or annihilation. Every day where they do not possess a nuke is a day where lives are being lost and cities are being bombed.


Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • hellinkilla [comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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    1 hour ago

    Was curious about the video posted by @Awoo of Miri Regev saying that israelis are not permitted to leave the country. I thought that was very odd… it is normal for people to flee such a situation, no? Tehran’s roads have been packed with people trying to escape. But these people are under the rule of fascism and now functionally prisoners.

    I think a reasonable argument could be made to limit air travel for safety concerns. This outbound travel ban appears to be by any route and applies only to israelis. But there’s a twist.

    The main plan is to “rescue” (!!!) Israelis living internationallyStranded Abroad. There are apparently 150,000 such victims. (The other articles I found all said 200,00.) They will be sending empty planes to Athens, Larnaca, New York, and Bangkok. Fill the planes with “essential personnel critical to Israel’s security

    Defense Ministry: Rescue flights for Israelis abroad to begin within 72 hours (I am not framiliar with this source but it’s what the others were citing. I couldn’t find a source I am framiliar with posting about this and I hope it’s not all FAKE. Please tell me if its fake.)

    full text

    Defense Ministry: Rescue flights for Israelis abroad to begin within 72 hours

    Flights from Athens, Larnaca, New York, and Bangkok to bring essential personnel back to Israel, no outbound flights permitted as around 150,000 Israelis remain stranded abroad.

    Jun 16, 2025, 1:38 PM (GMT+3)

    The Defense Ministry on Monday announced that rescue flights for Israelis stranded abroad will begin within 72 hours at the latest.

    Approval to initiate the flights was granted to Transportation Minister Miri Regev following coordination with Defense Ministry Director General Maj. Gen. (res.) Amir Baram.

    The primary departure points for flights to Israel will include Athens, Larnaca, New York, and Bangkok. Israel’s airspace will reopen with advance notice to the public just six hours before the first flight.

    According to the Defense Ministry, Israel’s National Emergency Authority (RAHEL) will determine the boarding priority for passengers, although the criteria have yet to be published.

    The primary focus will be on returning essential personnel critical to Israel’s security. These will be inbound flights only — no departures from Israel to international destinations will be permitted.

    An estimated 150,000 Israelis are currently abroad and unable to return.

    Baram explained: “The Defense Ministry is responsible for bringing back all those essential to the IDF. First the front-line fighters, then support personnel, and finally employees of the defense establishment and defense industries. We have lists and a coordinated plan with the Civil Aviation Authority and the IDF, including aircraft that can be activated by law. Everything is ready to go.”


    This is so wacky I doubt it veracity. If true, I have COMMENT. What you think? Real?

  • SeventyTwoTrillion [he/him]@hexbear.netOP
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    1 hour ago

    The Israeli blackout really drives home how reliant we are on constant media reporting to determine the rate of success and draw conclusions about the relative strengths of Israel and Iran. With an Israeli media blackout, there’s going to be a lot more people questioning (both legitimately and as propaganda online) whether Iranian capabilities are degraded or if we just can’t see the strikes any more.

    I guess for your average guy without much military knowledge like yours truly, there’s increasingly not much more to do or say than to hope Iran knows how to fight wars, lol

  • CleverOleg [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    10 minutes ago

    Through the last few days, my heart has been hardened toward Ukraine. Yes, I by and large agree with the Hexbear line on the SMO. But I guess I felt a bit more empathy towards Ukraine. In the early days, before NATO got involved, was more inclined to see it as a tragic situation where the time to resolve it was in 2014. It’s important for NATO to lose, but I felt bad it was the Ukrainian people who are suffering the most.

    Now, fuck it, you lay down with dogs you get fleas. I want to see NATO/USA/EU eat shit so badly now, anyone who associates with them can eat that shit too. In a just world it would be the NATO countries suffering more than Ukraine but this world isn’t just so I will take what I can get. I hope the SMO is a lesson to Taiwan, the Republic of Samsung, etc… you might not be in the NATO club but you’ll get what they get too when the time comes.

  • Awoo [she/her]@hexbear.net
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    1 hour ago

    This is Ukraine content but I’m sort of impressed by the German Leopard tank. This video shows Russian drones hitting a Leopard and it takes multiple drone impacts to kill it.

  • xiaohongshu [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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    2 hours ago

    The true wildcard of this conflict is China.

    If China truly wields its economic power, this conflict will END in 72 hours, and a truce signed by the end of this week, with American military presence being forced at least a thousand kilometers out.

    Like, what are the Western countries going to do if China stops the flow of treats to their countries? The threat of rare earth export is a stern reminder of just how much of their industries rely on China. Good luck trying to invade China.

    It’s only a matter of political will.

  • Awoo [she/her]@hexbear.net
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    2 hours ago

    Pakistan Defence Minister Khawaja Asif responded to a post about a BBC interview with Iran’s king in exile saying “grow some balls and go to Iran” and calling him a “bloody parasitical imperial whore.”

    Reza Pahlavi is Iranian Guaido guaido