Overall, Canada’s pollsters continue to be very good at their jobs
Special congratulations to the Mainstreet team this election!
Source: Polling Canada on Mastodon
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Mainstreet were an outlier and “won” only because their overweighting of conservatives happened to coincide with the vote-splitting that happened in BC and ON between Liberal and NDP.
Did all of them predict PP would lose his seat?
I don’t think any of them did riding-specific polls/predictions.
I think most aggregators had PP winning as the most likely outcome, but his defeat was within the MOE.
Comment with my exact question, is this variance beyond MoE? Would love to see their methodology on how this is calculated.
